Category:Australia Votes,Election Profiles 2022Tags : Australia VotesElection 2022
Monday 20th June, 2022
Party Machines Conking Out
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
2022 Federal Election Swing Map
The big winners and losers in the 2022 Election can be seen in our online interactive ADS 2022 Election Map.
The five big players in 2022 were the traditional majors: the ALP and the Coalition, but also the minor parties, like the Greens, the Teals and the Others (including One Nation and the UAP).
The influence of the minor parties in 2022 was wielded not so much through their preferences, but through the sheer size of their primary votes, as the support base for the major parties shrunk, with the ALP going backwards in some of its once-safest seats in Victoria to One Nation, the UAP and the Teals and the Liberal Party copping an absolute hiding in its wealthiest seats to Independents and in its former stronghold of Western Australia.
Teal campaigns run by the Climate 200 group wiped out the Green primary vote when they both ran in safe Liberal like Kooyong, but where there was no Teal candidate, as we saw in three Brisbane River seats won by the Greens, the Liberal primary vote losses switched directly to the Greens.
The primary vote for the Others group exceeded 20 percent after ten percent plus swings to the minor parties in normally-solid Labor seats across Victoria, NSW and Tasmania.
While the Liberal Party has a problem in its safest seats with the higher-income Teals, the ALP has a problem in its safest, lower-income seats, with right wing minor parties.
The interactive Esri map also shows an innovative cube layer for two of the key demographic drivers for the Teal vote: Female Professionals and Top Quartile income earners, so you can see how these two variables interact.
See story in The Australian Financial Review
Click to view interactive ADS 2022 Election Map
2022 Election Results – Summary for EGS Clients
Friday 27th May, 2022
by EGS Founder John Black
Did a short presentation with Saul Eslake today on the 2022 election results and the implications for Education Geographics Client Schools, with particular relevance to the election of new Teal MPs. It makes interesting reading.
? https://www.elaborate.net.au/PDF/Presentation 27 May 2022.pdf
Election Profiles 2022
Monday 23rd May, 2022
? John Black: Election earthquake signals death of major parties
episode from ABC “RN Breakfast” with Patricia Karvelas
Image: ABC RN : https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/
Election Profiles 2022
Monday 23rd May, 2022
Women’s teal wave could keep breaking in 2025
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
1 Day to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Friday 20th May, 2022
Coalition Closing Gap On Labor
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
2 days to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Due to popular demand (my wife Jeanine thought it was a good idea), I’m re-posting the PDF I prepared a few months ago for my Australian Financial Review article of February 15 on the rise of the Teal vote and the associated decline of the primary vote for the major parties. It may help you on election night to understand why the major party primary votes have fallen, and also to follow the larger swings to Labor in seats where popular Coalition members have retired, such as Bennelong or Casey.
Monday 14th February, 2022
Political Voices: Past, Present & Future
3 days to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Wednesday 18th May,2022
How House Prices Reflect The Way You Vote
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
5 Days to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Monday 16th May, 2022
? John Black: Election Campaign Enters Final Sprint
episode from ABC “RN Breakfast” with Patricia Karvelas
Image: ABC RN : https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/
1 Week to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Friday 13th, May 2022
As tradies deserted ALP, so career women turn Liberal seats teal
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
3 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Wednesday 4th May 2022
Inner Brissie could have gone teal
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
3 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Monday 2nd May, 2022
? John Black: Labor on track for win
episode from ABC “RN Breakfast” with Patricia Karvelas
Image: ABC RN : https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/
4 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Thursday 21 April, 2022
Albo’s not kicking with the wind
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
3 Weeks to Go to Pre-Poll Voting
Tuesday 19th April, 2022
4 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Tuesday 19th April, 2022
? John Black: Election still Labor’s to lose
episode from ABC “RN Breakfast” with Patricia Karvelas
Image: ABC RN : https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/
6 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Tuesday 13th April, 2022
Too soon to call, but the demographics favour labor
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
6 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Monday 11th April, 2022
? “Are the published opinion polls correct?”
episode from ABC “RN Breakfast” withPatricia Karvelas
Available now through the ABC listen App – http://bit.ly/ABCradioApp
Image: ABC RN : https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/
11 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Tuesday 29th March, 2022
Don’t order the sympathy cards for Morrison just yet
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
14 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Tuesday 15th February, 2022
Women To Deliver Shock Election
by John Black – AFR – Editorial and Opinion
Image: AFR : https://www.afr.com
14 Weeks to Go – Election Profiles 2022
Monday14th February, 2022
Political Voices: Past, Present & Future
